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Sick of the Status Quo: Why do young people support Bernie? - Jobs and Education
In the debate on Sunday night, they asked Hillary Clinton, why do young people support Bernie Sanders? The recent CBS poll showed that Bernie Sanders is beating Hillary Clinton among those 45 and...
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Poll: Sanders wins 4th Democratic Debate
The only poll I have seen suggests that Bernie Sanders made some progress in the 4th Democratic Debate in South Carolina.Bernie Sanders won the fourth Democratic primary debate of the 2016 election...
View ArticleEconomist/YouGov: Sanders (41%) Closing in Nationally on Clinton (50%), Gains...
New YouGov national poll has Sanders closing fast. Not sure why this poll was slow to pick up the movement others detected in early January, but it is there now.The Vermont senator is now seen as...
View ArticleRepublican Senator Richard Burr: I'd vote for Bernie Sanders for president...
Just wow. I know that Bernie has crossover appeal and I know that they hate Ted Cruz, but still, this is pretty shocking...Still, Cruz has become such a pariah that one of his colleagues, Sen. Richard...
View ArticleCNN: Hillary Clinton pins 'establishment' label on Bernie Sanders (What?)
Okay. Calm down. I have myself criticized the Sanders campaign for their response to the Planned Parenthood thing. However, Clinton’s response here makes even less sense.The Democratic front-runner...
View ArticleDesperate Clinton Ally/PAC calls Bernie Sanders a racist (losing African...
Desperation seems to be coming on pretty strong from the Clinton campaign. I wonder if things are moving in South Carolina. David Brock, Clinton ally and leader of her super PAC (which coordinates with...
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Bernie Sanders seems to be surging in South Carolina
There has been a considerable dearth of polling in South Carolina over the past month (since Sanders began to make his move). Most of the polling in South Carolina was at the end of October and...
View ArticlePoll: Sanders beats Trump and Bloomberg, Trump beats Clinton and Bloomberg...
Interesting little story about a potential Bloomberg run.Morning Consult found that in a national race involving Sanders, Trump and Bloomberg, Sanders would take 35% of the vote, Trump 34% and...
View ArticleDiaries that attack Bernie Sanders supporters
I generally avoid diaries that attack a candidate’s supporters. I have certainly seen Sanders supporters get out of line in their attacks on Hillary Clinton (e.g. “FBI”). I have also seen the reverse...
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Clinton's answer to why young voters prefer Sanders: You're too young to...
As a young voter, I was not happy with Clinton’s response to the question about why young voters support Sanders. Admittedly, the question was pretty hard to field. It was basically:“Young voters I...
View ArticleSanders leads with voters making less than 100k, Clinton has big lead with...
There are lots of ways to look at the data coming out of polls (male/female, young/old, etc.). But I thought it would be interesting to look at the income of the voters in the caucus. It turns out,...
View ArticleSanders (43) tied with Clinton (45) in Wisconsin, leads all GOPers in...
MarquetteWisconsinTrumpCrUzRubioSanders (win margin)54-34 (+18)50-38 (+12)49-38 (+11)Clinton (win Margin)47-38 (+9)45-44 (+1)45-44 (+1)Sanders AVG+13.67Clinton AVG+3.67It is time for people to at least...
View ArticleErica Garner, Eric Garner's daughter and BLM activist, writes amazing...
Erica Garner, daughter of Eric Garner and activist makes a plea to the black community.We aren’t the first generation of black Americans to rise up and demand our human right to life, and we won’t be...
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Pair of New Hampshire polls shows Sanders up 20+
A Franklin Pierce/Herald poll shows Sanders up 20 points over ClintonSanders has grown his lead over Clinton to a 57-37 percent margin , according to the poll of likely Granite State primary voters...
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Michael Moore endorses Bernie Sanders
He might come here and post it himself, so I’ll just put up a link and a highlight.http://michaelmoore.com/myendorsementofbernie/…Of course, there was a time when the media said it wasn’t “realistic”...
View ArticlePCCC Adam Green: Only one Democratic candidate has promised not to cut Social...
If anyone remembers the rumors of a Great Bargain in the earlier days of President Obama’s terms, there was a discussion about cutting Social Security benefits as part of a deal with the...
View ArticleYou know what's funny? The closest pollster in Iowa was Overtime Politics
I know people hate them and hate their methodology (or lack thereof), but it is kinda funny that they were the closest pollster, giving Sanders a 1 point lead. The next closest was Selzer’s poll,...
View ArticleClinton last night: "I'm a progressive", Clinton today: "We've got to get...
Whatever message for whatever the audience is. That is called pandering and Clinton is really really good at it. Except it is so painfully obvious.Last night at her Iowa speech, she said “I’m a...
View ArticleDes Moines Register: Iowa's nightmare revisited: Was correct winner called?
The Iowa Democratic Party said the updated final tally of delegate equivalents for all the precincts statewide was:Clinton: 700.59 Sanders: 696.82. That's a 3.77-count margin between Clinton, the...
View ArticleSanders out raised Clinton in January by 33%
Clinton's campaign announced that Clinton had raised $15 million for her primary campaign in January, compared to the over $20 million raised by Sanders' campaign. Sanders collected donations from over...
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Crazy Polls in New Hampshire: Pre and Post Iowa
I thought it would be nice to look at the polls pre and post Iowa in New Hampshire. Some have argued Sanders is losing ground after Iowa. However, the picture when looking at the polls released before...
View ArticleMadeleine Albright, are these young women in New Hampshire going to hell?
Albright: 'special place in hell' for women who don't support ClintonGuardianWith all due respect Secretary, this is is the future of our party.xThese are just a few of the women leading our political...
View ArticleHillary Clinton says she won't be releasing the transcripts of Goldman Sachs...
Hillary Clinton said in an interview with George Stephanopoulos that she won’t release the transcripts of her paid speeches unless the Republicans release theirs too. If she were the nominiee, that...
View ArticleSanders wins 15 del. to Clinton's 9 in New Hampshire (leads p. del. 36-32)...
Bernie Sanders won 15 of the 24 pledged delegates from New Hampshire last night with a 22.4% margin. This was the best case scenario for him. He needed to get over 56.3% statewide and in each of the...
View ArticleSanders brought out more 1st time voters than 2008 Obama did in New Hampshire...
http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/nh/DemSanders brought out 4 times (78%) as many first time voters as Clinton (21%) in New Hampshire.The turnout in New Hampshire was higher in 2008, but...
View ArticleThere is something crazy going on in South Carolina polling, Whites ARG...
Two polls were released the last couple of days from South Carolina, one from ARG and another from CBS/YouGov. The results are quite divergent. ARG has Clinton up 38 points while the CBS/YouGov poll...
View ArticleARG - Clinton loses 8 points in 2/3 days in South Carolina... or admits their...
ARG was the only pollster to give Clinton a 38 point lead in South Carolina a few days ago. A bunch of polls have since come out showing her lead has dropped to about 18 points. This poll was such an...
View ArticleNBC/WSJ Poll: Sanders (43) beats Trump (33) and Bloomberg (16) by 10 points
Good news for those concerned about a possible Bloomberg run.xAnd here's the NBC/WSJ poll on this hypothetical three-way matchup:Sanders 43%Trump 33%Bloomberg 16%— Mark Murray (@mmurraypolitics)...
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Sanders Supporters - Looking forward
First of all, congratulations to Hillary Clinton and her supporters for the win tonight in Nevada. Second, in response to some diaries saying otherwise, Nevada was a state that Sanders should have...
View ArticleNew poll shows Sanders gaining 23 points in North Carolina (Clinton 47,...
Elon’s poll, conducted February 15-19, showed Sanders just 10 points under Clinton after being down 33 points in their last poll in November.Clinton — 47 (57 in Nov)Sanders — 37 (24 in Nov)Sanders also...
View ArticleShould rich kids have to pay to go to public elementary, middle, and high...
Then why does Clinton want to single them out for college? In doing so, she also makes it so college is not tuition free for the not-rich kids. Does that seem right? Not to me.
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Ipsos/Reuters poll shows Sanders gaining among Democrats (excluding Indies)...
An Ipsos/Reuters poll released today showed Bernie Sanders gaining on Clinton among Democrats ONLY (excluding independents). This is his highest performance in this poll and particularly in a poll that...
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Sanders won Kansas with over 67% of the vote
Been seeing people deriding Sanders for only winning Nebraska by 10% (they’re still countying). Well, they finished counting Kansas and now he has won with 67.7% of the...
View ArticleDon't look now, but FiveThirtyEight got it wrong. Sanders tied/beat his...
FiveThirtyEight last night lamented Sanders for not hitting his delegate targets in Louisiana, Kansas, and Nebraska. But their math was wrong.Sanders Won More States, But He Lost The DayLet’s take a...
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Michigan Democratic Turnout in 2016 (so far) 187% of 2008, 688% of 2004, 404%...
For your viewing pleasure (note that this is without all precincts reporting):A revolution takes more than a month to build. Revolutions don’t start and end in a day. Republicans did have a higher...
View ArticleSanders just gained about 7 statewide delegates in Polk County, Iowa (Clinton...
Note that this is a fast breaking story which will probably contain updates in the future.Whatever the reason (switched votes, bad original counting by the party, people not showing up), when delegates...
View ArticleSanders gets one more national delegate from Kansas (Clinton one less) - Now...
This is just a quick update to note that many times the original delegate counts that come out of states are not correct. There is complicated math to be done at the district level and sometimes the...
View ArticleAn Optimistic but Possible Path to the Nomination for Bernie Sanders
Below are the state estimates from here forward for what Sanders could do to get the majority of pledged delegates by the end of the primaries. I started with the 538 estimates for a path to the...
View ArticleUpdating an Optimistic but Possible Path to the Nomination for Bernie Sanders
A couple of days ago I wrote a diary called “An Optimistic but Possible Path to the Nomination for Bernie Sanders.” In it, I outlined a possible path to the nomination for Sanders that relied on an...
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A Simple Statistical Argument that Sanders' Wins are More Due to Their Region...
Several big names have been arguing that Sanders has done well in caucuses, but not primaries. This includes Kos recent front page post and some over at 538.Bernie Sanders Continues To Dominate...
View ArticleSanders won AZ on election day 61% to 39% in Phoenix, Voting problems may...
At first I thought this was kind of sour grapes, but it turns out this is a big problem. Clinton got a 13 delegate net gain over Sanders in Arizona. That is no small gain. She did this because she won...
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1st time ever, Sanders leads Clinton in REGISTERED DEMOCRATS Nationally in...
For the first time ever, Sanders leads Clinton nationally among registered Democrats in Reuters tracking poll (49% to 48%). Although Sanders has previously led with other groups, this is the first time...
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Sanders out raises Clinton by nearly 2 to 1 in March (44M-23.5M), Beats her...
Multiple news sources are reporting that Sanders raised $44 million while Clinton raised $23.5 million in March for their campaigns. That is a nearly 2 to 1 margin of fundraising for Sanders. Clearly...
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Sanders tied nationally with Clinton among Registered Democrats in new...
A new Ipsos/Reuters poll shows Sanders tied with Clinton (48-49) among registered Democrats. This is encouraging for Sanders as the race heads towards several closed primary...
View ArticleFrom a Sanders Supporter: Thank you Hillary Clinton
As much as everyone might have thought Hillary Clinton wanted to be President, I’ve always been of the opinion that she actually had a tough time deciding to run in 2016. I’m pretty sure that she would...
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Democrats need to stop ignoring the MATH
I am now out of the younger age groups separated in polling. This means I need to start pointing out things than may not be obvious younger people, or those who may not have put much thought into the...
View ArticleRepublicans aren't accusing Comey of "leaking," they are really accusing him...
Both Republican politicians and Trump’s lawyer are trying to scream “Squirrel!” This is to take our eyes away from the basic facts in Comey’s testimony today. One key element of this is the attempt to...
View ArticleOpinion: Sequence of events points to Trump/lawyers trying to remove...
I admit that this is my own thoughts on this topic, so take it with a grain of salt. However, the recent stream of stories over the last couple of days has led me to see a pattern that I think is...
View ArticleBreathless CNN Reporter Unwittingly Makes Case that Sessions is Possibly...
As I listened to CNN last night, I heard a report by a breathless reporter about Rosenstein. He was saying that Rosenstein should be recusing himself within the next couple if days, if not hours. I was...
View ArticleRepublican Party Officially Funding an Accused Child Molester for US Senate
The RNC has decided to support the Roy Moore campaign via the Washington Post.www.washingtonpost.com/…President Trump led an aggressive charge Monday on behalf of embattled Senate nominee Roy Moore,...
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